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06 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.2%
Le Havre
14.0%
Draw
12.9%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

3.03

Le Havre

vs
1.26

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS68.0%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.580.2%
Over 3.562.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
4-2
3.8%
5-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).