Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Zagreb
22.4%
Draw
14.4%
Istra 1961
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Zagreb
vs
0.92
Istra 1961
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).