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AHT: 01CSV

22 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.5%
Peterboro
19.8%
Draw
61.6%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Peterboro

vs
1.95

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).