Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Fakel
49.6%
Draw
27.8%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Fakel
vs
0.52
Dynamo Makhachkala
Markets
BTTS15.5%
Over 0.560.8%
Over 1.526.1%
Over 2.57.4%
Over 3.51.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
39.2%
0-1
18.8%
1-0
15.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-2
5.1%
2-0
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-1
1.9%
0-3
0.9%
3-0
0.6%
2-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).