Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Spezia
28.4%
Draw
48.2%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Spezia
vs
1.51
Parma
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).