Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Como
29.8%
Draw
35.4%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Como
vs
1.24
Monza
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).