Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Gillingham
26.7%
Draw
21.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Gillingham
vs
0.76
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).