Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Weymouth
31.0%
Draw
39.8%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Weymouth
vs
1.21
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).