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AHT: 01CSV

13 Apr 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.3%
Cadiz
15.9%
Draw
76.8%
Barcelona

Expected Goals (xG)

0.59

Cadiz

vs
2.37

Barcelona

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.5%
0-1
12.0%
0-3
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-1
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
6.8%
0-0
5.4%
1-4
4.0%
0-5
3.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).