Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Chorley
32.8%
Draw
23.6%
Yeovil
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Chorley
vs
0.78
Yeovil
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).