Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Saint-Étienne
20.2%
Draw
54.8%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Saint-Étienne
vs
2.06
Lille
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).