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AHT: 11CSV

24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.1%
Dag and Red
25.6%
Draw
44.3%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Dag and Red

vs
1.68

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).