Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Pescara
26.7%
Draw
32.7%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Pescara
vs
1.38
Spal
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).