Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Nottingham Forest
22.4%
Draw
42.1%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.71
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).