Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Fulham
27.7%
Draw
26.5%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Fulham
vs
1.10
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).