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16 Sept 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.7%
Antwerp
22.1%
Draw
10.1%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

1.85

Antwerp

vs
0.57

Seraing

Markets

BTTS37.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.9%
2-0
15.2%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).