Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Nurnberg
28.0%
Draw
26.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Nurnberg
vs
1.09
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).