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DHT: 11

09 Aug 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.2%
Widzew Lodz
33.1%
Draw
25.7%
Wisła Płock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Widzew Lodz

vs
0.83

Wisła Płock

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.4%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).