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HHT: 00CSV

23 Dec 2015

Modena

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.2%
Pescara
28.2%
Draw
42.6%
Modena

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Pescara

vs
1.47

Modena

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).