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25 Feb 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.3%
RB Leipzig
20.9%
Draw
26.8%
Ein Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

RB Leipzig

vs
1.64

Ein Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS73.0%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
1-0
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).