Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Fleetwood Town
17.5%
Draw
70.9%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Fleetwood Town
vs
2.08
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
0-2
13.7%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.0%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).