Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.5%
Lokomotiv Moskva
8.7%
Draw
4.8%
Sochi
Expected Goals (xG)
3.93
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
1.01
Sochi
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.596.1%
Over 2.587.0%
Over 3.572.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
5-0
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-2
3.6%
1-1
3.2%
5-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).