Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Lazio
30.8%
Draw
20.5%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Lazio
vs
0.64
Parma
Markets
BTTS32.3%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).