Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Moreirense
23.8%
Draw
13.4%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Moreirense
vs
0.72
Boavista
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).