Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Las Palmas
26.2%
Draw
16.9%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Las Palmas
vs
0.66
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
12.8%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).