Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Plymouth
24.1%
Draw
48.3%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Plymouth
vs
1.85
Hull
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).