Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Salernitana
25.6%
Draw
31.6%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Salernitana
vs
1.20
Monza
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).