Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Burnley
29.5%
Draw
30.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Burnley
vs
1.20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).