Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.9%
Nott'm Forest
20.1%
Draw
8.0%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.54
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.8%
1-0
14.9%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
5.4%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).