Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Valladolid
23.5%
Draw
26.2%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Valladolid
vs
1.18
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).