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27 Sept 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.1%
Lokomotiv Moskva
24.3%
Draw
20.6%
Rubin Kazan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Lokomotiv Moskva

vs
1.14

Rubin Kazan

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).