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HHT: 10CSV

16 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.5%
Vicenza
30.0%
Draw
29.4%
Ternana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Vicenza

vs
1.08

Ternana

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).