Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Troyes
20.9%
Draw
56.3%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Troyes
vs
1.93
Lorient
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).