Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Ingolstadt
25.3%
Draw
51.2%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Ingolstadt
vs
1.79
Dresden
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).