Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Rochdale
22.7%
Draw
17.0%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Rochdale
vs
0.71
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).