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09 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.4%
Rochdale
26.0%
Draw
42.6%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Rochdale

vs
1.34

Walsall

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).