Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
Southend
19.6%
Draw
9.6%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Southend
vs
0.67
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
12.0%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).