Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Genclerbirligi
32.2%
Draw
19.1%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Genclerbirligi
vs
0.89
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.3%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).