Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Monaco
17.4%
Draw
13.5%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Monaco
vs
0.86
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).