Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Crawley Town
18.4%
Draw
59.8%
Torpoint Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Crawley Town
vs
2.44
Torpoint Athletic
Markets
BTTS69.3%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
1-4
4.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).