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AHT: 12CSV

19 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.1%
Granada
24.4%
Draw
45.5%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Granada

vs
1.67

Espanol

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).