Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Cremonese
27.9%
Draw
21.4%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Cremonese
vs
0.93
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).