Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Pau FC
17.8%
Draw
60.9%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Pau FC
vs
2.37
Metz
Markets
BTTS66.5%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
7.1%
0-2
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
4.9%
1-4
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).