Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Oviedo
32.5%
Draw
23.2%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Oviedo
vs
0.68
Burgos
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.551.6%
Over 2.525.1%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
0-0
17.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).