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AHT: 21CSV

20 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.2%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
27.3%
Draw
33.5%
Magdeburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.35

Magdeburg

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).