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17 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
AFC Wimbledon
22.6%
Draw
40.8%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

AFC Wimbledon

vs
1.52

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).