Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Udinese
28.9%
Draw
26.2%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Udinese
vs
0.86
Parma
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).