Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.1%
Real Madrid
16.3%
Draw
10.5%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Real Madrid
vs
0.87
Betis
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.6%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-0
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).