Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Brøndby IF
32.6%
Draw
22.1%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Brøndby IF
vs
0.74
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).