Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Brescia
26.7%
Draw
42.9%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Brescia
vs
1.35
Genoa
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).